Bøger af Paul K. Davis

Reviews the scientific literature relating to observable behavioral indicators that might, along with other information, help detect potential violent attacks, such as those by suicide terrorists or the laying of improvised explosive devices.

A methodology and prototype tool, the Building Blocks To Composite Options Tool (BCOT), that identifies investment options for defense capability areas, then uses a screening technique to identify those meriting more-extensive assessment in a fuller portfolio-analysis framework.

Making future DoD models and simulations more composable

Illuminates why it can be important to improve the quality of metamodels by using even modest phenomenological knowledge to help structure them.

This volume provides a definition of capabilities-based planning, puts it in the larger context of defence activity generally and sketches an analytic architecture for carrying it out.

Besieged examines the most important sieges in history-the actions and motivations of attackers and defenders along with conditions inside and outside the city walls. From Joshua's assault on Jericho in the 15th century B.C.

Key battles have shaped history since time immemorial. The world would be a much different place today. Describes the historical context and goals of each conflict, with detailed statistics and information on every aspect of each battle

This report builds on earlier RAND research that used qualitative conceptual causal models called "factor trees" to identify the factors that contribute to aspects of terrorism or insurgency and how the factors relate to each other. This report goes beyond the qualitative by specifying a prototype computational social-science model of public support for terrorism and insurgency. The model illustrates designing for reusability and composition.