Bøger af Clem Sunter

Do you know how to think about the future? All our decisions are about the future, whether it's tomorrow, next year or the next decade, yet our choices are often undermined by desires, expectations and common mental mistakes - making assumptions, worrying about things we can't control, missing signals because we're distracted by the noise. But if you can learn how to think, you can learn how to look ahead. Isaac Newton said: 'If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.' In Thinking the Future, Clem Sunter and Mitch Ilbury teach us the futurist's art of decision-making by reimagining seminal concepts from some of history's greatest thinkers. They encourage foxy, flexible mindsets and reject the popular but misleading self-help tenet that you can decide your fate through the relentless pursuit of a single goal. An uncertain world demands a more dynamic approach. The point is not to forecast one outcome but to plot multiple scenarios of what could happen. Using scenario-planning techniques, we can all harness the power to work towards the future we want, avoid the ones we don't, and prepare ourselves for the possible risks and opportunities no matter what transpires.

Clem Sunter and Chantell Ilbury's seminal scenario planning books - The Mind of a Fox, Games Foxes Play and Socrates & the Fox - are now available for the first time as a single-volume e-book. The Fox Trilogy traces the development of a methodology that is now used around the world by large and small organisations alike. It assumes the future is unpredictable and should be split into different scenarios, each of which has its own flags, probability and optimum course of action. This model provides decision-makers with the same speed and quality of response to change that foxes possess.