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A short, practical, timely guide to the tools you need to understand the numbers we read in the news everyday - and how we often get them wrong
"At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in [this book], Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone in rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modeling and forecasting ... and many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost anything--that it is the underlying architecture of rationality. Fusing biography, ... science writing, and intellectual history, Everything is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences"--Book jacket.
A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives
'A beguiling mix of history, geology, folklore and memoir that captivated me from the first page.' Lara Maiklem, author of MudlarkingWhat secrets lie beneath a city?
A Jon Ronson-esque deep-dive into the weird and wonderful world of Artificial Intelligence
City State showcases the work of twenty-seven London writers between the ages of 16 and 36. From hyperlinked walks of Battersea bombsites and guerilla gardening projects to jagged urban lyrics and dark hymns to the East End, City State presents a confident, entertaining and truly diverse snapshot of the best new poetry from London.
Since 2004 Penned in the Margins has produced, commissioned and published a diverse range of literary projects, working with over one hundred and fifty writers, musicians and artists.From award winning anthologies such as Adventures in Form to critically acclaimed debut collections like Claire Trévien's The Shipwrecked House. This new anthology comprises over seventy-five poems and texts from our forty titles and celebrates the first decade of one of the UK's most innovative literary publishers.
How To Build A City is the Crashaw Prize-winning debut collection of poetry by Tom Chivers. It is a poetic interrogation of the twenty-first century urban experience, peopled by ghosts of London's past as well as the distinctly modern spectres of international terrorism, spam email and the credit crunch.
An invisible mountain rises above the streets of London. At over 1,400 metres it's Britain's highest peak. This ingenious book is an account of the ascent of Mount London by writers, poets and urban cartographers, each scaling a smaller urban mountain - from Crystal Palace to Parliament Hill. Mount London is a visionary record of the vertical city.
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